2026 JULY ISSUE
THE STRONGEST
EL NIÑ0
IN A CENTURY
Written by ANDREW SIA
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From the Desk of the Publisher
This information is coming from National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and it is not from those soothsayers who are speculating that somewhere in Southeast Asia a very large piece of land would sink into the sea, or other scary calamities. We need to be responsible for the source of information that we are receiving in order to guide the people for taking the right precautions.
This is partly due to the global warming effect, but a very large part of it is from the climate behavior that our planet earth is going through.
This piece is calling for the alert and awareness and prepare ourselves when the nature will have to take its course. Like I said that we have to keep our fingers crossed and pray for the least damage.
Introduction
Generally speaking, El Niño is a climate phenonium caused by an unusual warm ocean water in the central and eastern Pacific Ocean. But what makes it important is that it can reshape weather pattern across much of the world. It is said that this is one of the strongest El Niño on record this time, and it is going to be compared with the one in 1877 which was driving the most severe climate event that swept around the globe.
We are going to share with you the three news clips that we collected from the Washington Post, and we will close the report at the last section
El Niño is Likely to Influence Our Global Weather Pattern in this Summer – The Washington Post, March 9, 2026
New data is showing that there is the potential to become one of the strongest El Niño events on record. A typical El Niño effect is a warm stream of water in the equatorial Pacific Ocean influences those regions that can experience droughts, floods, and extreme heats. These relatively rare super El Niño events would happen once every 10 to 15 years on average. Normally it is between the months of July to September.
The extreme El Niño effect is caused by the sea temperatures in the key region of the Pacific Ocean getting warmer more than 2° Celsius above average. This will lead to a profound atmosphere response. The impacts can include the frequency and location of heat waves, locations of flooding downpours and droughts could arise, hurricanes may hit, ice concentrations in the sea may decline.
All these may result the Western U.S. to face a hotter than average summer, some tropical countries could face worse drought and extreme heat, more tropical cyclones could develop in the Pacific, but fewer in the Atlantic. This year’s El Niño may push global temperature to record levels, particularly in 2027.
US Defense Department meteorologist Eric Webb mentioned that because of the increasing concentration of greenhouses gases, the climate system cannot exhaust the heat released in a major El Niño event before the next El Niño comes. This can result the pushing of the baseline upward again. Therefore, a super El Niño in 2026-2027 can disperse more heat than other very strong events recorded in 1982-83, 1997-98, and 2015-16.
Meanwhile, Hawaii could encounter more tropical storms and hurricanes. Starting in the middle of the year, there will be more typhoons in the Western Pacific, including those across the Philippines, China, and Japan.
India’s monsoon will run from June to September with less rain than average.
Drought could also build up across Australia and Indonesia, parts of the eastern Africa and the Caribbean islands, and downpours will hit Peru, Ecuador, and Hawaii.
Droughts will be hard in Ethiopia, Somalia, Haiti, Central America, Papua New Guinea and Vietnam.
The good thing is El Niño may have a moderating effect on winter temperatures, as the northern branch of the jet stream is nudged farther north and frigid air less frequently ventures southward into the U.S.
Introduction
Generally speaking, El Niño is a climate phenonium caused by an unusual warm ocean water in the central and eastern Pacific Ocean. But what makes it important is that it can reshape weather pattern across much of the world. It is said that this is one of the strongest El Niño on record this time, and it is going to be compared with the one in 1877 which was driving the most severe climate event that swept around the globe.
We are going to share with you the three news clips that we collected from the Washington Post, and we will close the report at the last section
El Niño is Likely to Influence Our Global Weather Pattern in this Summer – The Washington Post, March 9, 2026
New data is showing that there is the potential to become one of the strongest El Niño events on record. A typical El Niño effect is a warm stream of water in the equatorial Pacific Ocean influences those regions that can experience droughts, floods, and extreme heats. These relatively rare super El Niño events would happen once every 10 to 15 years on average. Normally it is between the months of July to September.
The extreme El Niño effect is caused by the sea temperatures in the key region of the Pacific Ocean getting warmer more than 2° Celsius above average. This will lead to a profound atmosphere response. The impacts can include the frequency and location of heat waves, locations of flooding downpours and droughts could arise, hurricanes may hit, ice concentrations in the sea may decline.
All these may result the Western U.S. to face a hotter than average summer, some tropical countries could face worse drought and extreme heat, more tropical cyclones could develop in the Pacific, but fewer in the Atlantic. This year’s El Niño may push global temperature to record levels, particularly in 2027.US Defense Department meteorologist Eric Webb mentioned that because of the increasing concentration of greenhouses gases, the climate system cannot exhaust the heat released in a major El Niño event before the next El Niño comes. This can result the pushing of the baseline upward again. Therefore, a super El Niño in 2026-2027 can disperse more heat than other very strong events recorded in 1982-83, 1997-98, and 2015-16.
Meanwhile, Hawaii could encounter more tropical storms and hurricanes. Starting in the middle of the year, there will be more typhoons in the Western Pacific, including those across the Philippines, China, and Japan.
India’s monsoon will run from June to September with less rain than average.
Drought could also build up across Australia and Indonesia, parts of the eastern Africa and the Caribbean islands, and downpours will hit Peru, Ecuador, and Hawaii.
Droughts will be hard in Ethiopia, Somalia, Haiti, Central America, Papua New Guinea and Vietnam.
The good thing is El Niño may have a moderating effect on winter temperatures, as the northern branch of the jet stream is nudged farther north and frigid air less frequently ventures southward into the U.S.
Potential the Strongest El Niño is Happening in a Century – The Washington Post, April 6, 2026
The report continues with the potential super El Niño is likely to have a wide-reaching climate impact that will last into 2027. This supercharged version of the climate patterns would affect region-to-global weather patterns for this summer or fall.
A typical El Niño is a warming patch of water in the equatorial Pacific Ocean would influence regions with droughts, floods, extreme heat, hurricanes or typhoons, and declining sea ice. Super El Niño events happen once every 10 to 15 years with stronger effects, more persistent, and wider spread
It is all because of a warmer sea temperature in key regions of the Pacific Ocean warmer than 2° Celsius, or 3.6° Fahrenheit.
This possible super El Niño could have pushed global temperatures to record levels, particular in 2027, and have agricultural impacts as weather patterns change.
It has been mentioned that this could be the strongest event in 150 years.
A Super El Niño – The Washington Post, May 12,
It is said that the climate phenomenon is expected to return this year, and a lot has changed in human history. The chances have risen for one of the strongest El Niño events on record later this year, and it is compared with what happened in 1877 when such an event drove catastrophe around the globe.
El Niño is the warming of ocean waters in the east-central tropic Pacific that develops every few years. This year the ocean temperatures there could surge 3° Celsius above average and break records.
The climatic shift devastated crops nearly 150 years ago and raising the question if a similar disruption could threaten global food security this time. The strongest El Niño on record from 1877 to 1878 created a global famine which killed more than 50 million people across India, China, Brazil and elsewhere. It was 3 to 4% of the estimated global population at the time, equal to at least 250 million people if it happened today.
What will follow by the drought associated with the super El Niño will threaten food, water, and economy security in many regions, which could affect globally across the interconnected socioeconomic systems.
One good thing is that we are now better equipped than before in monitoring the wind speed, air temperatures, humidity, and pressure as well as the temperatures and salinity in the upper ocean. There are about 70 moored buoys under the international program which has established across the Pacific.
Conclusion
We would like to know what this super El Niño will look like across the world:
In North America
– Wetter conditions in the Southern U.S.
– More storms across California and the Gulf Coast
– Warmer winters in northern state and Canada
– Increased coastal flooding risks in some regions
In Western Pacific – Australia, Indonesia, and the Philippines
– Hotter
– Drier
– More vulnerable to droughts and wildfires
Central and Eastern Pacific for areas closer to Peru, Ecuador, and part of the eastern Pacific
– Wetter
– Stormier
– More like to suffer floodings
In Pacific Islands
– Some may experience excessive rainfall
– Others may experience drought
– Coral bleaching can become a major concern because warmer water may destroy marine ecosystems
Oceans and Fisheries
– The cold nutrient-rich water rises near South America can weaken fish population and disrupt fishing industries
In Pacific Ocean
– Central and eastern Pacific become usually warm
– Jet stream shift
– Cloud formations move eastward
– Enormous storm systems develop in different locations than usual
Hurricanes in Western Hemisphere
– El Niño often helps to reduce Atlantic hurricanes because stronger upper-level winds disrupt storm formation, but it doesn’t eliminate the danger entirely
Typhoons in Eastern Hemisphere
– Numbers of typhoons in the western Pacific may decrease, but storms that may form and can become stronger and shift towards the South China Sea and closer toward the central Pacific Ocean
Philippines, Taiwan and Japan may experience
– Very intense super typhoons
– Stronger rainfall
– Coastal flooding
– Landslides
China and South China Sea
– Fewer typhoons
– More irregular rainfalls
– Alternative drought and flooding
– Stronger storms
Southeast Asia – Vietnam, Indonesia, Malaysia and parts of Thailand
During El Niño years, dryness may increase and can lead to:
– Heat waves
– Wildfire risks
– Water shortages
– Agricultural stress
Economic Disruption
A strong El Niño can affect Pacific region and can bring disruptions to:
– Its trade corridor
– Fisheries zone
– Military postings
– Energy transport route
– Global economic activities
– Shipping routes
– Semiconductor supply chains
– Ports
– Agricultural
– Tourism energy infrastructure
In views of all these threats, we have to keep our fingers crossed and hope that the damage can bring to the least. But I don’t believe that the damage can’t reach to what it was in 1877 to 1878 which created a global famine and killed more than 50 million people across India, China, Brazil and elsewhere.